Our money back guarantee is simply put:
For new clients if our predictions are not right 50% or more of the time throughout the course of a one week trial membership, I will refund your money. That’s how confident I am here at Flat Bet that I will be right more often than I am wrong and I don’t know of any other handicap service that offers that! Also all monthly or yearly clients will get free fantasy football advice. Get your emails in by Friday and I will have them back for you by Sunday morning.

A flat bet or flat betting is simply explained as a betting system where all wagers are the same. A better does not change the wager amount based on wins, losses, or any other outside opinion. The wager is usually a percentage of bank roll but can also be a fixed dollar amount. You can simply call it a straight bet. Parlays only cashed 4.6% of their bets in Vegas last year. I rarely recommend playing parlays but their are some exceptions.

I thoroughly research information and provide betting tips and predictions so you can be better informed! I formulate my own betting lines early in the week and the games with the most points or run differential are the games I target.

My information and opinions are centered around basketball, football, baseball and golf. In my opinion, golfing matchups are the easiest to handicap and I concentrate on head to head matchups not odds to win the tournament.

My job is to give information and opinions based on facts and my job is to get our picks and predictions correct! I will give my predictions but also explain to our clients exactly the reasons why I came up with my prediction. I do not give out predictions on all games. Instead of spreading myself thin with researching a little bit on several games , I want to exclusively lock in to our targeted games to crunch the numbers and formulate my prediction. My prediction is not luck, it’s an educated guess which is why I will win more than I lose. The bottom line is to be right and keep our clients informed to make decisions that help them win!

My clients, and our team here at Flat Bet are all working towards the same goal. If I’m not doing well for my clients then I will lose clients, which I never want to do, of course. I can’t stand annoying betting experts yelling and banging on drums about their picks and saying how they went 14 and 2 with no factual evidence! Clients will call or text or email and ask for our opinion on a certain game. Well if that is not a game we targeted, then I will not give a prediction. I don’t give out opinions on games I have not extensively researched.

One thing you will never see at Flat Bet is our company hedging our bet or playing the fence. For example, a company giving half their clients Pittsburgh -3.5 over the Giants, then giving the other half of their clients the Giants +3.5. Yes, half of our clients we can keep happy, however, not only is that wrong and unethical, but it should be illegal. Every single prediction I give I aim for it to be right!!

Now for my betting tips and the principals I believe in that makes us successful.

What I Do!

My research includes watching the game of play, examining statistics, expert knowledge of the teams and players, and gathering sports and other "outside" impacts that may effect the game of play, BEFORE making an informed predictions.

What I Don’t Do!

I will not make predictions in the first couple weeks of a new sport because you can’t gather enough information to make an informed decision.

I will never give out a pick more than a day or two before a game. Injuries during the practice week or players getting arrested or change of weather can impact a game, so we like to get our predictions out as close to the game as possible. One think I will never recommend is playing the money line when is to drastic. That’s when I suggest a parlay, if you want to play the money line bet on 2 favorites and parlay them that way when you risk $100 you get back $100. I don’t recommend betting $100 to win $50. It’s too much risk for not enough payout.

Buying points, I am a huge believer in buying a half of point, it doesn’t cost much and it is well worth it. However, I don’t ever advise buying a half a point on a over/ under if the over/under is already set at 52.5 , however if it’s at 52 then I suggest buying the half a point. Also, I recommend never buying more then a half a point, if your going to buy more then half a point then you should be picking the other team!!

Never bet for or against your favorite team, you have a biased view and should never wager on those games! Always stay consistent with your betting, never say well I’m down $200 for the weekend so I’m going to bet $200 on Monday Night Football to break even when you normally only bet $100 per game. I call that chasing and that’s what will get you into trouble real quick!

I will never tell anyone what to do or how much to wager. I give u information and facts and predictions and you choose to do what you want to do with it. Home court advantage is the most important in basketball games compared to football and baseball. Also I don’t do predictions for the first couple weeks of any sports because their is not enough information to be analyzed.

Now some betting tips for specific sports and things we are prioritize in our analysis and predictions.

Football: People like to see points scored and more often then not they pick the over, however, the under hits more often than not. Vice versa in college the over hits more often than the under just for the simple fact that if you go to overtime then you may have 21 more points score. So if you like the over in a certain game, a game with a close spread that is more likely to go into overtime, the over is the way to go. Weather plays a huge factor on the over/under which is why is best to not wager unless you know for sure what the weather will be. Not only rain, but wind plays a huge factor on passing and field goal kicking. More games in the NFL have come down to field goals in the first few weeks than ever before so studying the kickers accuracy is crucial in determining a prediction!

Baseball: I like to focus on pitching matchups and pitching trends. How the pitcher has been pitching as of late. I like to parlay the money lines of the better pitching matchups or I like to take the straight wager minus a run and a half, or plus a run in a half. Teams bullpens are a huge factor in predicting a winner. It doesn’t matter if your starter is great if your bullpen can’t hold the lead. Also, elite pitching always is more important then elite hitting.

Basketball: I like to target games where the favorites are 2 to 5 points. This is because at the end of the game the losing team will needlessly foul and give the winning team free throws even though they usually have no chance of winning. This does not matter in college because of the one and ones and college players not having nearly the free throw percentage as NBA players. College referees are more influenced by the home team crowd and are more prone to make up calls. Also, they try to make the fouls as even as possible so this always favors the more aggressive team that has a higher steal percentage. If you notice the fouls in college are always shown on the tv and in the NBA they are not, this has a huge impact on officiating. You must also consider back to back games as player fatigue is a huge factor on performance.

Golf: Golf is by far the most easy sport to handicap and this is a sport I do like to parlay. How players are playing of late is more important than course history. Courses with huge fairways favor the bombers, courses with tight fairways favor driving accuracy. Courses that have small greens favor players that are great at scrambling and it helps nullify the better putters.

Injuries: In baseball, I never like taking a starting pitcher that had just came back from injury without them making at least 3 starts. They maybe on a pitch count and are not reliable to predict. In basketball, when a guy is a game time decision and he is the teams first or second player then he maybe on a minutes restriction and if he’s a game time decision than that means he’s not 100% even if he’s not on a minutes restriction. In football, obviously the quarterback is the most important position and how he practices up until the game is a huge factor. For instance, if a quarterback is limited all week that is not too concerning for me. However, if he’s unable to practice at all and not getting any reps and ends up playing then that would be a larger concern. I treat golfer injuries like pitchers in baseball, if they haven’t played for at least 3 weeks, I stay away from them because they are rusty and it’s very hard to predict how they will play with not much recent playing history.